In this new publication “How climate change and fire exclusion drive wildfire regimes at actionable scales” , the authors modeled the drivers that dominate fire regimes at management-relevant scales, finding that spatial estimates of soil aridity can provide a relatively simple, first-order indicator of where in a watershed fire regime is climate vs. fuel-limited and where fire regimes are most vulnerable to change.
Hanan, E.J., Ren, J., Tague, C.L., Kolden, C.A., Abatzoglou, J.T, Bart, R.R., Kennedy, M.C., Liu, M., Adam, J.C. (2020) How climate change and fire exclusion drive wildfire regimes at actionable scales, Environmental Research Letters doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd78e